ACR-INF · ACR

ACR-INF⛓ on-chain⛓ on the blockchain

Inference

0.49773

$/1k tokens

±33.2 bp (95%) · cost to move 1% · $0.33bp (honest wiggle room, 95% sure) · to bend this 1%, a cheat must burn $0.33 · est. (sim)our estimate 0.49112

The record · recent printsThe history · recent official rates

print95% CINº 2,924 · 0.49112 · ±64.2 bp

91.9%

Annualized volHow jumpy (yearly)

400

ObservationsPayments counted

70.2%

Volume cleanedFake volume removed

Nº 2,924

FixingEdition

Provenance · the settlement-grade recordProof · the official on-chain copy

Contracts settle against the on-chain record, not this page. The rate above is that record; “est.” is what the oracle posts each hour.

The number that counts lives on the blockchain, not on this page. The rate above is that record, read from an .

settlement provenanceproof of record · ACR-INFlive

On-chain rateOfficial rate0.49773 ±33.2 bp

ACROracleScoreboard contract0x4f00…2609

SignerSigned by0x8366…5cb0

postPrint txPosting receipt0x9ee0…0a7f ↗ block 61,603,120 ↗

Freshnessfinality <1sfinal in <1s

DomainNetworkchain 5042002 · USDC 0x3600…0000 · gas token· also pays the fees

raw on-chain printthe raw record, as stored

{
  "index_id": "ACR-INF",
  "value": 0.49773380357474806,
  "ci_lo": 0.494493045254866,
  "ci_hi": 0.49780229920817265,
  "attack_cost_per_bp": 0.015552,
  "timestamp": 10522800,
  "posted_at": 1789149269
}

Construction · how this number defends itselfUnder the hood · why this number is hard to fake

Share of tape volume removed by funding-graph cleaning and Louvain sybil detection before estimation.Money we threw out as fake: self-deals and rings of , caught by tracing who funds whom.70.2%
Trim level α of the volume-time weighted median: the mass an attacker must outweigh on each side.How much of the wildest prices we ignore on each side, like : the extreme judges don’t count.α = 0.10
Manipulation bound: USDC an attacker must burn to move this print one basis point.: dollars an attacker must burn to move this rate one hundredth of a percent.$0.0055 / bp
Human-denominated bound: not computed for this print. The contract reads 0 as absent, never as free, so no dollar figure is shown.Not worked out for this rate yet, which is not the same as it being free.…
Largest single funding cluster’s share of post-cleaning volume. No one identity group dominates the print.The biggest single group of connected accounts still only owns this slice of the surviving volume. Nobody dominates.13.5%
Influence of that cluster on the print if removed entirely.How far the rate would move if that whole group were deleted from the data.60.4 bp
Independent sybil clusters an attacker would need to control to flip the median.Separate fake-account rings a cheat would need to run at once to flip the middle value.1
Minimum distinct identities behind the surviving observations.At least this many genuinely different participants stand behind the surviving payments.41

Quote corridor · ACR-INFForward prices · where dealers quote ACR-INF

The desk · on-chain futures (ACRFutures)The trading desk · real futures on the blockchainarchived editiona saved copy

Index	Maker bookDealer’s position	Open interestContracts open	Avg priceDealer’s average	UnrealizedPaper P&L	RealizedBanked P&L	ExpirySettles	TradersPlayers	SeriesRound
ACR-INF · Inference	−0.3 short	0.3	0.49112	−$0.06	−$0.04	Sep 24, 2026 · 13:28 UTC 12d 19h	2	#11

Contract sizeWhat one contract is worth ACR-INF10× · $4.98 at the current markat today’s price

MakerWho is on the other side ACR-INF0x9D44…88d2 our Circle developer-controlled wallet. It takes the other side of every fillour own wallet. It takes the other side of every trade

SettlementHow it pays out ACR-INFcash, against the oracle print at expiryin cash, against the official rate when it settles

Every fill is mirrored by the maker; at expiry positions cash-settle against ACROracle.latestPrint on-chain. No delivery needed.Every trade is matched by the dealer; at the deadline each contract against the official on-chain rate. VenueContract 0x29d9…42fe.

Fills against the oracle · ACR-INFTrades against the official rate · ACR-INF

No fills on this series yet. The first one prints here.No trades on this round yet. The first one appears here.